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Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
RB Leipzig
S U U U T
2–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 11. · Wolfsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Freiburg 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Union Berlin 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Mainz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 FC Koln 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Augsburg 3 1 0 2 -4 3
11 RB Leipzig 3 0 2 1 -1 2
12 Stuttgart 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Schalke 04 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Wolfsburg 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Ein Frankfurt 3 0 2 1 -5 2
16 Hertha 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Bochum 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Wolfsburg
Dani Olmo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
4′
1–0 C. Nkunku
5′
Benjamin Henrichs 🟨
8′
26′
🟨 Maximilian Arnold
J. Gvardiol 🔁
↦ B. Henrichs
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Omar Marmoush
↦ J. Kamiński
46′
🔁 F. Nmecha
↦ J. Guilavogui
Konrad Laimer 🟨
47′
51′
🟨 Paulo Otávio
53′
🟨 Ridle Baku
59′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ L. Nmecha
59′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ M. Philipp
T. Werner 🔁
↦ André Silva
64′
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ K. Kampl
64′
72′
🔁 M. Svanberg
↦ M. Arnold
X. Schlager 🔁
↦ M. Halstenberg
82′
Timo Werner 🟨
88′
2–0 C. Nkunku
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

3-4-1-2
21 J. Blaswich G
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
23 M. Halstenberg D
39 B. Henrichs M
27 K. Laimer M
44 K. Kampl M
22 D. Raum M
7 Dani Olmo F
19 André Silva F
18 C. Nkunku F
Bench (8)
32 J. Gvardiol
11 T. Werner
8 A. Haidara
24 X. Schlager
34 J. Nickisch
38 Hugo Novoa
25 S. Ba
10 E. Forsberg

Coach: D. Tedesco

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
6 Paulo Otávio D
29 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
16 J. Kamiński M
9 M. Kruse M
17 M. Philipp M
10 L. Nmecha F
Bench (9)
33 Omar Marmoush
22 F. Nmecha
7 L. Waldschmidt
14 J. Brekalo
32 M. Svanberg
12 P. Pervan
38 B. Franjić
3 S. Bornauw
2 K. Fischer

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,60
B
6,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.