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Primeira Liga
Referee: Ricardo Baixinho
Portimonense
T T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 11
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 12. · Guimaraes 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Sp Braga 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Guimaraes 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Boavista 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Arouca 3 2 0 1 -2 6
7 Estoril 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Casa Pia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sp Lisbon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Chaves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Vizela 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Famalicao 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Maritimo 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Guimaraes
23′
🔁 Bruno Gaspar
↦ Miguel Maga
Paulo Estrela 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Luquinha 🔁
↦ Pedro Sá
46′
Ewerton 🔁
↦ Paulo Estrela
46′
46′
Jota Silva 0–1
André Almeida
Fahd Moufi 🟨
47′
Rui Gomes 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
58′
1–1 Welinton Júnior
62′
73′
🔁 Nélson Luz
↦ Jota Silva
73′
🔁 Antoñín Cortés
↦ Anderson Silva
Pedrão 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Bruno Varela
88′
🟨 Rúben Lameiras
2–1 Yago Cariello
M. Seck
88′
Yago Cariello 🟨
89′
Ewerton 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 N. Janvier
↦ Hélder Sá
96′
🟨 Nicolas Janvier
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Portimonense

3-5-2
94 Samuel G
4 Willyan Rocha D
44 Pedrão D
22 Filipe Relvas D
18 F. Moufi M
38 Paulo Estrela M
24 M. Diaby M
21 Pedro Sá M
14 M. Seck M
93 Welinton Júnior F
99 Yago Cariello F
Bench (9)
20 Luquinha
8 Ewerton
70 Rui Gomes
30 Kim Yong-Hak
6 Henrique Jocú
32 K. Nakamura
17 Ricardo Matos
3 Z. Ouattara
19 Gonçalo Costa

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
14 Bruno Varela G
2 Miguel Maga D
13 André Amaro D
3 M. Villanueva D
5 Hélder Sá D
10 Tiago Silva M
22 I. Bamba M
7 Rúben Lameiras M
70 André Almeida M
11 Jota Silva M
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (9)
76 Bruno Gaspar
20 Nélson Luz
38 Antoñín Cortés
98 N. Janvier
80 Dani Silva
23 Matheus Índio
83 M. Tounkara
63 Celton Biai
25 R. Ogawa

Coach: Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,73
U
3,21
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.