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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Hartberg
U S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Ried
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
75%
20%
Both score Ø 58%
75%
40%
Average goals
3,3
1,6
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hartberg 11. · Ried 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Salzburg 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 A. Lustenau 5 3 1 1 +4 10
4 Sturm Graz 5 2 2 1 +4 8
5 SK Rapid 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Tirol 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Austria Vienna 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 Ried 5 1 1 3 -2 4
9 A. Klagenfurt 5 1 1 3 -4 4
10 Altach 5 1 1 3 -5 4
11 Hartberg 4 1 0 3 -5 3
12 Wolfsberger AC 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Ried
24′
🟨 Tin Plavotić
Half-time 0–0
T. Kofler 🔁
↦ C. Klem
54′
1–0 E. Almog
P. Farkas
62′
66′
🔁 L. Mikić
↦ J. Wießmeier
66′
🔁 K. Michael
↦ M. Martin
68′
🟨 Tin Plavotić
68′
🟥 Tin Plavotić
Patrick Farkas 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 D. Cosgun
↦ S. Nutz
P. Sturm 🔁
↦ E. Almog
77′
D. Tadić 🔁
↦ S. Paintsil
77′
83′
🔁 G. Diomandé
↦ C. Monschein
84′
🟨 Marcel Ziegl
87′
🟨 Markus Lackner
M. Kröpfl 🔁
↦ L. Fadinger
87′
2–0 D. Tadić
P. Sturm
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
35 R. Sallinger G
29 P. Farkas D
16 M. Sonnleitner D
11 M. Horvat D
14 C. Klem D
23 T. Kainz M
28 J. Heil M
8 L. Fadinger M
9 O. Aydın M
10 E. Almog M
30 S. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
27 T. Kofler
18 P. Sturm
24 D. Tadić
17 M. Kröpfl
21 F. Faist
32 A. Ejupi
12 M. Steinwender

Coach: K. Schmidt

Ried

3-4-3
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
66 D. Ungar D
6 M. Lackner D
24 T. Plavotić D
23 J. Weberbauer M
8 M. Martin M
4 M. Ziegl M
10 J. Wießmeier M
22 S. Nutz F
7 C. Monschein F
17 P. Pomer F
Bench (7)
21 L. Mikić
12 K. Michael
11 D. Cosgun
45 G. Diomandé
31 A. Diawusie
44 N. Wiesinger
33 J. Wendlinger

Coach: C. Heinle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.