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Premier League

Referee: J Brooks

Brentford

T U S T S

1–1

Full-time

Everton

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

2,0

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 9. · Everton 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Man City	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Man United	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Newcastle	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Fulham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Southampton	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Everton	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Leeds	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Man United	2	1	0	1	-3	3
7	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Liverpool	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.