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Süper Lig
Referee: Ç Altay
Karagumruk
S U T T T
4–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,5
0,5
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
4,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
0 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 17. · Ankaragücü 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gaziantep 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Fenerbahce 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Buyuksehyr 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Ad. Demirspor 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Giresunspor 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Galatasaray 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Antalyaspor 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Konyaspor 3 1 2 0 +4 5
11 Alanyaspor 3 1 2 0 +2 5
12 Kayserispor 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Sivasspor 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 Ankaragücü 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Ümraniyespor 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Hatayspor 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Karagumruk 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 İstanbulspor 3 0 0 3 -7 0
19 Kasimpasa 3 0 0 3 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Ankaragücü
1–0 S. Dursun
2′
Salih Dursun ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
3′
2–0 F. Borini
C. Erkin
9′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Durak
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
46′
🔁 L. Diack
↦ Pedrinho
46′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ G. Zahid
3–0 F. Borini
E. Colley
48′
51′
🟨 Pêpê
53′
R. Baniya 4–0
own goal
61′
🟨 Oğuz Ceylan
64′
🔁 A. Güneren
↦ Jesé
A. Musa 🔁
↦ E. Colley
67′
K. Frei 🔁
↦ F. Borini
68′
74′
🔁 G. Ariyibi
↦ G. Beridze
L. Mercan 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
81′
E. Mızrakcı 🔁
↦ S. Dursun
81′
82′
🟨 Sinan Osmanoğlu
5–0 M. Diagne
83′
C. Kazim-Richards 🔁
↦ M. Diagne
85′
Ahmed Musa 🟨
92′
Otabek Shukurov 🟨
93′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
54 S. Dursun D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
88 C. Erkin D
27 M. Ozdoev M
19 E. Colley M
21 J. Durmaz M
29 O. Shukurov M
16 F. Borini M
9 M. Diagne F
Bench (10)
7 A. Musa
11 K. Frei
18 L. Mercan
37 E. Mızrakcı
13 C. Kazim-Richards
1 B. Şen
3 E. Tintiş
24 L. Nicholas
8 M. Ricci
33 Ö. Gümüş

Coach: A. Pirlo

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
99 B. Güngördü G
77 O. Ceylan D
90 S. Osmanoğlu D
18 N. Mujakić D
3 Marlon D
8 Pedrinho M
28 Pêpê Rodrigues M
21 G. Beridze M
19 G. Zahid M
10 Jesé M
11 F. Macheda F
Bench (10)
5 A. Durak
14 L. Diack
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
23 A. Güneren
12 G. Ariyibi
9 E. Derdiyok
17 Y. Güreler
4 A. Çankaya
1 N. Aslan
88 F. Üzüm

Coach: M. Dalcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,72
B
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ç Altay · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.