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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Le Havre
T U T U S
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 1
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 10. · Amiens 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Caen 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Bordeaux 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 Metz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Bastia 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Niort 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +5 5
11 Paris FC 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Valenciennes 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Grenoble 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Sochaux 4 1 1 2 +1 4
15 Nimes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
17 Rodez 4 0 2 2 -4 2
18 St Etienne 4 0 2 2 -7 2
19 Pau FC 4 0 2 2 -7 2
20 Annecy 4 0 1 3 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Amiens
13′
T. Arokodare 0–1
31′
🟨 Mattheo Xantippe
38′
🟨 Jérémy Gélin
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 S. Ring
↦ M. Xantippe
58′
🔁 A. Chibozo
↦ T. Arokodare
59′
🔁 M. Lachuer
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
J. Thiaré 🔁
↦ Y. Kitala
60′
Q. Cornette 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
67′
A. Ba 🔁
↦ A. Richardson
67′
68′
🔁 O. Gene
↦ J. Gelin
1–1 J. Thiaré
G. Lloris
72′
Jamal Thiaré 🟨
75′
77′
🟨 Iron Gomis
79′
🟨 Mathis Lachuer
80′
🔁 H. Bandé
↦ A. Badji
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
9 Y. Kitala F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (7)
14 J. Thiaré
11 Q. Cornette
31 A. Ba
28 E. Mahmoud
1 M. Gorgelin
5 Z. Diallo
3 S. Kumbedi

Coach: L. Elsner

Amiens

3-1-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
24 J. Gelin M
7 A. Léautey M
29 I. Gomis M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
26 M. Xantippe M
17 A. Badji F
9 T. Arokodare F
Bench (7)
3 S. Ring
10 A. Chibozo
20 M. Lachuer
25 O. Gene
11 H. Bandé
23 A. Ciss
16 P. Charruau

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,09
B
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.