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Serie A

Referee: F Cosso

Spezia

S T S S T

2–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 12. · Sassuolo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Roma	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Inter	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Milan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Salernitana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Monza	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Salernitana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Monza	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.