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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Hacken

T U S S S

4–1

Full-time

Varnamo

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hacken Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

63%

21%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

68%

47%

Both score Ø 66%

79%

53%

Average goals

3,6

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

24 Shots 17

11 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 5

6 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hacken 1. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	19	12	5	2	+19	41
2	Hammarby	19	12	3	4	+26	39
3	Djurgarden	19	11	5	3	+25	38
4	AIK	19	10	5	4	+6	35
5	Malmo FF	19	10	4	5	+10	34
6	Goteborg	19	9	3	7	+7	30
7	Kalmar	19	9	3	7	+5	30
8	Mjallby	19	7	7	5	+2	28
9	Sirius	19	7	4	8	-6	25
10	Elfsborg	19	5	9	5	+7	24
11	Norrkoping	19	5	5	9	-5	20
12	Varberg	19	5	5	9	-16	20
13	Varnamo	19	4	7	8	-10	19
14	Helsingborg	19	3	5	11	-15	14
15	Degerfors	19	3	3	13	-25	12
16	Sundsvall	19	3	1	15	-30	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	9	8	1	0	+22	25
2	Hammarby	11	7	3	1	+18	24
3	Malmo FF	9	7	1	1	+13	22
4	Kalmar	10	7	1	2	+7	22
5	AIK	9	6	2	1	+6	20
6	Hacken	9	6	1	2	+10	19
7	Mjallby	10	4	5	1	+5	17
8	Elfsborg	9	4	4	1	+8	16
9	Goteborg	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Sirius	9	5	0	4	+1	15
11	Varberg	10	3	3	4	-6	12
12	Varnamo	9	2	5	2	+1	11
13	Norrkoping	10	3	2	5	+0	11
14	Helsingborg	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Degerfors	9	2	3	4	-8	9
16	Sundsvall	10	3	0	7	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Hammarby	8	5	0	3	+8	15
3	Goteborg	10	5	0	5	+2	15
4	AIK	10	4	3	3	+0	15
5	Djurgarden	10	3	4	3	+3	13
6	Malmo FF	10	3	3	4	-3	12
7	Mjallby	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Sirius	10	2	4	4	-7	10
9	Norrkoping	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Elfsborg	10	1	5	4	-1	8
11	Kalmar	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Varberg	9	2	2	5	-10	8
13	Varnamo	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Helsingborg	9	1	2	6	-9	5
15	Degerfors	10	1	0	9	-17	3
16	Sundsvall	9	0	1	8	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.