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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Maritimo
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
Portimonense
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 49%
55%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 9. · Portimonense 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 33 28 4 1 +62 88
2 Sp Lisbon 33 26 4 3 +46 82
3 Benfica 34 23 5 6 +48 74
4 Sp Braga 33 19 8 6 +22 65
5 Gil Vicente 33 13 12 8 +10 51
6 Guimaraes 33 12 9 12 +4 45
7 Santa Clara 33 9 13 11 -12 40
8 Estoril 33 9 12 12 -5 39
9 Maritimo 33 9 11 13 -4 38
10 Boavista 34 7 17 10 -13 38
11 Pacos Ferreira 34 9 11 14 -15 38
12 Famalicao 33 8 12 13 -7 36
13 Portimonense 33 9 8 16 -15 35
14 Vizela 34 7 12 15 -21 33
15 Arouca 34 7 10 17 -24 31
16 Moreirense 34 7 8 19 -18 29
17 Tondela 34 7 7 20 -26 28
18 Belenenses 34 5 11 18 -32 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Portimonense
9′
🟨 Fahd Moufi
Léo 🟨
15′
39′
🟨 Filipe Relvas
Half-time 0–0
Rafik Guitane 🟨
46′
57′
🔁 Fabricio
↦ A. Lazaar
Henrique 🔁
↦ André Vidigal
60′
Miguel Sousa 🔁
↦ Edgar Costa
60′
68′
🔁 J. Da Costa
↦ F. Moufi
A. Alipour 🔁
↦ R. Guitane
72′
80′
Ewerton 0–1
Welinton Júnior
Ali Alipour 🟨
84′
Bruno Xadas 🔁
↦ Vítor Costa
90′
Pedro Pelágio 🔁
↦ S. Beltrame
91′
92′
🔁 Ricardo Matos
↦ S. Nakajima
92′
🔁 Pedro Sá
↦ I. Angulo
92′
🔁 Luquinhas
↦ Ewerton
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
1 Miguel Silva G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
94 Vítor Costa D
66 Léo Andrade D
10 S. Beltrame M
15 I. Rossi M
12 Edgar Costa M
24 Clésio D
95 J. Tagueu F
8 R. Guitane M
7 André Vidigal M
Bench (9)
93 Henrique
36 Miguel Sousa
9 A. Alipour
60 Pedro Pelágio
17 Bruno Xadas
16 Diogo Mendes
48 Paulo Victor
3 M. Mosquera
45 Fábio China

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Portimonense

4-2-3-1
32 K. Nakamura G
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
4 Willyan D
22 Filipe Relvas D
7 Ewerton M
23 A. Lazaar M
70 I. Angulo M
6 Henrique Jocú M
93 Welinton Júnior F
10 S. Nakajima M
Bench (9)
9 Fabricio
29 J. Da Costa
17 Ricardo Matos
21 Pedro Sá
20 Luquinhas
85 Bruno Reis
11 Anderson Oliveira
38 Paulo Estrela
12 P. Niazmand

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U
3,50
B ✓
3,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.