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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
0–4
Full-time
Genk
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Seraing United Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
20%
100%
Points per game
0,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,4
4,4
Scored
0,8
3,4
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Seraing United 14. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Antwerp 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
5 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Waregem 6 2 1 3 -2 7
10 Kortrijk 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 Oostende 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 Cercle Brugge 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Seraing United 5 1 0 4 -4 3
15 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -8 3
16 Seraing 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Seraing United Genk
Abdoulaye Sylla 🟨
5′
30′
M. Trésor 0–1
B. Heynen
Half-time 0–1
S. Elisor 🔁
↦ Sérgio Conceição
46′
57′
J. Paintsil 0–2
M. Trésor
60′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ A. Németh
E. Ifoni 🔁
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
61′
M. Sambu 🔁
↦ D. Opare
61′
61′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ B. El Khannouss
M. Poaty 🔁
↦ L. Abanda
62′
64′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
66′
M. Trésor 0–3
68′
C. Lepoint 1–3
own goal
V. Guillaume 🔁
↦ D. Bunchukov
69′
73′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ J. Paintsil
79′
🟨 Mike Trésor
87′
🔁 M. Didden
↦ C. Cuesta
87′
🔁 M. Galarza
↦ M. Trésor
Simon Elisor 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Seraing United

3-4-3
30 G. Dietsch G
2 A. Sylla D
23 C. Lepoint D
17 S. Trémoulet D
40 D. Opare M
28 D. Bunchukov M
27 S. Sissoko M
11 L. Abanda M
35 Sérgio Conceição F
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
12 A. Bernier F
Bench (7)
9 S. Elisor
29 E. Ifoni
21 M. Sambu
18 M. Poaty
14 V. Guillaume
1 T. Galjé
4 M. Tshibuabua

Coach: J. Jeunechamps

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
2 M. McKenzie D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
35 A. Németh F
Bench (7)
7 M. Samatta
10 N. Castro
18 P. Onuachu
27 M. Didden
25 M. Galarza
40 T. Leysen
77 A. Preciado

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.