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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
1–4
Full-time
Utrecht
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 49%
20%
78%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,39 xG 1,05
49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 12. · Utrecht 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 10 0 1 +28 +14.7 30
2 Ajax 10 8 1 1 +14 +12.4 25
3 Feyenoord 11 6 4 1 +12 +10.8 22
4 Utrecht 9 7 1 1 +5 -2.2 22
5 Twente 11 6 3 2 +13 +14.1 21
6 For Sittard 11 5 2 4 -1 +0.4 17
7 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 3 4 -4 +7.1 15
8 NAC Breda 11 5 0 6 -6 -3.4 15
9 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 2 4 +2 +3.7 14
10 Willem II 11 3 3 5 +0 -9.0 12
11 Heracles 11 3 3 5 -10 -9.6 12
12 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 5 3 -2 +0.3 11
13 Heerenveen 10 3 2 5 -3 +0.2 11
14 Nijmegen 10 3 1 6 +0 -2.7 10
15 Groningen 10 2 3 5 -2 -5.8 9
16 Zwolle 11 2 3 6 -10 -11.0 9
17 Almere City 10 1 3 6 -16 -6.5 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 -20 -13.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
15′
V. Jensen 0–1
Y. Cathline
Pelle Clement 🟨
39′
42′
🔁 O. Fraulo
↦ C. Bozdoğan
Half-time 0–1
C. Neghli 🔁
↦ M. Nassoh
46′
S. Mito 🔁
↦ Kayky
46′
46′
🔁 Miguel Rodríguez
↦ T. Booth
Djevencio van der Kust 🟥
68′
70′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ N. Ohio
M. Kleijn 🔁
↦ J. Kitolano
73′
T. Lauritsen 🔁
↦ P. Clement
73′
82′
🔁 J. Toornstra
↦ V. Jensen
82′
🔁 O. Romenij
↦ Y. Cathline
85′
Miguel Rodríguez 0–2
J. Toornstra
87′
🟨 Mike van der Hoorn
A. Oufkir 🔁
↦ C. Brym
88′
88′
P. Aaronson 0–3
1–3 T. Lauritsen
91′
95′
M. van der Hoorn 1–4
J. Toornstra
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Bakari D
3 M. Young D
4 M. Eerdhuijzen D
5 D. van der Kust D
6 P. Clement M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 Kayky M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 M. Nassoh M
9 C. Brym F
Bench (12)
19 C. Neghli
17 S. Mito
13 M. Kleijn
22 T. Lauritsen
21 A. Oufkir
15 H. El Dahri
14 R. Meissen
12 B. Reith
18 Metinho
30 K. Reitmaier
16 J. Baas
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt

Coach: N. Boukhari

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
8 C. Bozdoğan M
21 P. Aaronson M
10 T. Booth M
7 V. Jensen M
20 Y. Cathline M
11 N. Ohio F
Bench (12)
6 O. Fraulo
22 Miguel Rodríguez
19 A. Descotte
18 J. Toornstra
77 O. Romenij
32 T. de Graaff
40 M. Didden
14 Zidane Iqbal
25 M. Brouwer
5 K. Finnsson
23 N. Vesterlund
9 D. Min

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U
3,43
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.