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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
Utrecht
S T T T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 17/19 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
71%
37%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 0,59
59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 12. · Sparta Rotterdam 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 2 1 +36 +19.3 53
2 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 +20 +20.4 36
3 Nijmegen 19 10 5 4 +16 +6.8 35
4 Ajax 19 9 7 3 +11 +7.1 34
5 AZ Alkmaar 20 9 5 6 +3 +13.3 32
6 Groningen 19 9 4 6 +6 +12.2 31
7 Twente 20 7 9 4 +7 +20.3 30
8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 2 8 -10 -2.9 29
9 For Sittard 20 7 4 9 -4 -12.4 25
10 Heerenveen 18 6 5 7 +1 +11.9 23
11 Zwolle 20 6 5 9 -16 -15.8 23
12 Utrecht 17 6 4 7 +4 -2.4 22
13 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 -15 -13.2 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 -3 -12.1 21
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -14 -20.1 17
16 Telstar 20 3 7 10 -9 -8.7 16
17 NAC Breda 20 3 6 11 -11 -7.8 15
18 Heracles 19 4 2 13 -22 -16.0 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam
7′
S. Mito 0–1
M. van Bergen
N. Viergever 🔁
↦ M. Eerdhuijzen
13′
28′
🟨 Bruno Martins Indi
Half-time 0–1
G. Zechiel 🔁
↦ A. Engwanda
46′
46′
🔁 P. Clement
↦ J. Baas
47′
🟨 Lushendry Edward Martes
62′
🟨 Marvin Young
A. Blake 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
62′
O. Agougil 🔁
80′
80′
🔁 S. Sambo
↦ L. Martes
80′
🔁 A. Roaldsoy
↦ J. Kitolano
80′
🔁 J. Toornstra
↦ A. Santos
N. Vesterlund 🔁
↦ S. Horemans
81′
Dani de Wit ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
93′
93′
🟨 Mitchell van Bergen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
40 M. Didden D
44 M. Eerdhuijzen D
16 S. El Karouani D
27 A. Engwanda M
8 C. Bozdogan M
10 Y. Cathline M
20 D. de Wit M
11 J. Karlsson M
22 M. Rodriguez F
Bench (11)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
3 M. van der Hoorn
5 K. Finnsson
6 D. van den Berg
15 A. Blake
21 G. Zechiel
23 N. Vesterlund
24 N. Viergever
38 O. Agougil
55 D. Murkin

Coach: Ron Jans

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 J. Drommel G
2 L. Martes D
3 M. Young D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 T. Quintero D
8 J. Kitolano M
6 J. Baas M
7 M. van Bergen M
10 A. Santos M
11 S. Mito M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (12)
12 S. Sambo
13 J. de Guzman
14 T. Velthuis
15 M. Kleijn
16 A. Roaldsoy
17 S. Bakari
18 J. Toornstra
19 N. Thorisson
21 P. Clement
22 S. Ltaief
20 F. Bednarek
30 P. Kuiper

Coach: Maurice Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,72
B ✓
3,98
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.