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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Groningen
T T S T S
0–0
Full-time
Utrecht
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 6
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 7. · Utrecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 5 4 0 1 +8 12
2 Vitesse 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Twente 5 3 2 0 +7 11
4 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 +5 10
6 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Groningen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
8 Utrecht 3 1 2 0 +2 5
9 VVV Venlo 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
12 Willem II 5 1 1 3 -4 4
13 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -6 4
14 Waalwijk 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 FC Emmen 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 For Sittard 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Utrecht
Wessel Dammers 🟨
11′
Half-time 0–0
Jörgen Strand Larsen 🟨
59′
Ahmed El Messaoudi 🟨
64′
A. da Cruz 🔁
↦ P. Joosten
65′
M. El Hankouri 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
66′
Bart Van Hintum 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 E. Elia
↦ M. Sylla
A. Robben 🔁
↦ R. Lundqvist
76′
84′
🔁 D. Arzani
↦ B. Ramselaar
Azor Matusiwa 🟨
85′
G. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ D. van Kaam
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
2 D. Dankerlui D
4 W. Dammers D
5 K. Itakura D
7 R. Lundqvist M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam M
14 P. Joosten M
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (12)
21 A. da Cruz
11 M. El Hankouri
10 A. Robben
15 G. Gudmundsson
32 T. Poll
8 S. Schreck
33 J. van Kaam
17 Migue Leal
31 T. Suslov
35 R. Balk
24 N. Bertrams
48 L. Miguel

Coach: D. Buijs

Utrecht

4-3-3
16 T. Nijhuis G
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
3 J. Hoogma D
25 T. St. Jago D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar F
29 M. Sylla F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (10)
11 E. Elia
15 D. Arzani
20 G. Troupée
50 J. Houweling
28 U. Emanuelson
26 O. Boussaid
8 J. van Overeem
34 C. Mamengi
32 E. Oelschlägel
13 E. Bergström

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U ✓
3,45
B
2,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.