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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Heracles
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 11. · PSV Eindhoven 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Heerenveen 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Twente 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 VVV Venlo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Groningen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -4 1
15 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -5 0
17 Waalwijk 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Jeff Hardeveld 🟨
28′
1–0 R. Vloet
31′
Teun Bijleveld 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Thomas
↦ M. Sadílek
46′
🔁 N. Madueke
↦ Mauro Júnior
46′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ M. Ihattaren
51′
P. Max 1–1
S. van der Water 🔁
↦ S. Bakış
58′
D. Burgzorg 🔁
↦ A. Szőke
58′
73′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 🟨
76′
78′
🟨 Bruma
78′
🔁 O. Boscagli
↦ C. Gakpo
L. Schoofs 🔁
↦ T. Breukers
79′
Robin Propper 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

5-3-2
16 M. Brouwer G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
10 R. Vloet M
8 T. Bijleveld M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
9 S. Bakış F
17 A. Szőke F
Bench (9)
11 S. van der Water
37 D. Burgzorg
15 L. Schoofs
22 M. Leš
36 H. Dieker
3 G. Quagliata
14 L. de la Torre
7 J. Cijntje
26 K. Bucker

Coach: F. Wormuth

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
4 N. Viergever D
31 P. Max D
22 D. Dumfries D
33 J. Teze D
32 M. Sadílek M
17 Mauro Júnior M
18 P. Rosario M
10 M. Ihattaren M
7 Bruma M
19 C. Gakpo F
Bench (7)
30 R. Thomas
23 N. Madueke
9 D. Malen
28 O. Boscagli
5 T. Baumgartl
8 J. Hendrix
21 M. Delanghe

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,18
U ✓
3,97
B
1,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.