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Eredivisie

Referee: K Blom

Utrecht

S U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Twente

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Twente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 43%

25%

60%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

25%

40%

Both score Ø 68%

75%

60%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

5 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Twente 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+21	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Vitesse	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Twente	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Groningen	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Utrecht	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-13	5
11	AZ Alkmaar	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Willem II	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Waalwijk	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	For Sittard	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Twente	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	FC Emmen	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	VVV Venlo	3	0	1	2	-14	1
18	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+13	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Twente	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Zwolle	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.