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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Willem II
U T S T T
4–0
Full-time
Heracles
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 14. · Heracles 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 For Sittard 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Heracles
Mats Köhlert 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
46′
D. Saddiki 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
46′
46′
🔁 R. Agca
↦ R. Vloet
46′
🔁 S. Bakış
↦ A. Szőke
1–0 V. Pavlidis
M. Trésor
46′
2–0 G. Sağlam
50′
3–0 J. Yeboah
G. Sağlam
52′
57′
🔁 J. Cijntje
↦ L. de la Torre
57′
🔁 M. Amissi
↦ D. Burgzorg
M. Nelom 🔁
↦ D. Köhn
73′
76′
🔁 M. Brouwer
↦ J. Blaswich
4–0 V. Pavlidis
M. Trésor
84′
J. van den Avert 🔁
↦ J. Peters
85′
J. Dahlhaus 🔁
↦ G. Sağlam
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 R. Ruiter G
4 J. Peters D
25 S. Holmén D
27 D. Köhn D
22 V. van den Bogert D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
21 M. Trésor M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (9)
19 J. Yeboah
17 D. Saddiki
18 M. Nelom
46 J. van den Avert
40 J. Dahlhaus
29 J. Ogenia
24 C. van den Berg
9 P. Gladon
26 J. Brondeel

Coach: A. Koster

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
10 R. Vloet M
8 T. Bijleveld M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre F
17 A. Szőke F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (9)
31 R. Agca
9 S. Bakış
7 J. Cijntje
30 M. Amissi
16 M. Brouwer
26 K. Bucker
5 M. Rente
22 M. Leš
15 L. Schoofs

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,47
B
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.