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Champions League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Shakhtar Donetsk
S T U T U
0–3
Full-time
Atalanta
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,29 xG 2,60
47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 22
0 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Atalanta
Alaa Ghram 🟨
20′
21′
⚽ B. Djimsiti 0–1
A. Lookman
44′
⚽ A. Lookman 0–2
S. Kolašinac
Half-time 0–2
Y. Konoplia 🔁
↦ A. Ghram
46′
46′
🔁 M. Pašalić
↦ B. Djimsiti
48′
⚽ R. Bellanova 0–3
D. Zappacosta
60′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ C. De Ketelaere
60′
🔁 M. Retegui
↦ A. Lookman
L. Traoré 🔁
↦ Eguinaldo
63′
A. Bondarenko 🔁
↦ T. Stepanenko
63′
Kevin 🔁
↦ Marlon Gomes
63′
Newerton 🔁
↦ O. Zubkov
75′
75′
🔁 J. Cuadrado
↦ R. Bellanova
78′
🟨 Nicolò Zaniolo
83′
🔁 B. Godfrey
↦ O. Kossounou
84′
🟨 Éderson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
18 A. Ghram D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 Pedro Henrique D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
8 D. Kryskiv M
10 H. Sudakov M
30 Marlon Gomes M
7 Eguinaldo F
Bench (12)
26 Y. Konoplia
2 L. Traoré
21 A. Bondarenko
37 Kevin
39 Newerton
72 K. Fesiun
16 I. Azarovi
38 Pedrinho
9 M. Shved
29 Y. Nazaryna
4 B. Franjić
17 Vinícius Tobias

Coach: M. Pusic

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
29 M. Carnesecchi G
3 O. Kossounou D
19 B. Djimsiti D
23 S. Kolašinac D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. de Roon M
13 Éderson M
77 D. Zappacosta M
24 L. Samardžić F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (12)
8 M. Pašalić
10 N. Zaniolo
32 M. Retegui
7 J. Cuadrado
5 B. Godfrey
28 Rui Patrício
27 M. Palestra
49 T. Del Lungo
46 A. Manzoni
48 V. Vlahović
40 P. Comi
31 F. Rossi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.