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Serie A
Referee: F Dionisi
Verona
S T T T S
0–3
Full-time
Monza
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
43%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
86%
29%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,4
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,93 xG 1,39
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 12. · Monza 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 8 6 1 1 +10 +5.4 19
2 Inter 8 5 2 1 +8 +4.7 17
3 Juventus 8 4 4 0 +10 +7.0 16
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 +7 +6.7 14
5 Fiorentina 8 3 4 1 +7 +4.2 13
6 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 +5 +6.9 13
7 Lazio 8 4 1 3 +2 +3.3 13
8 Udinese 8 4 1 3 -1 -4.6 13
9 Torino 8 3 2 3 +0 -3.5 11
10 Roma 8 2 4 2 +2 +1.2 10
11 Empoli 8 2 4 2 +1 -4.0 10
12 Verona 7 3 0 4 +0 -1.6 9
13 Bologna 8 1 6 1 -2 -0.6 9
14 Como 8 2 3 3 -4 -0.1 9
15 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 -5 -1.1 9
16 Parma 8 1 4 3 -2 -1.6 7
17 Genoa 8 1 3 4 -10 -7.1 6
18 Lecce 8 1 2 5 -15 -5.5 5
19 Monza 7 0 4 3 -4 -4.6 4
20 Venezia 8 1 1 6 -9 -5.2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Monza
9′
Dany Mota 0–1
G. Caprari
Jackson Tchatchoua 🟨
35′
41′
🟨 Andrea Carboni
Daniele Ghilardi 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
Ondrej Duda 🟨
53′
A. Sarr 🔁
↦ D. Mosquera
62′
G. Kastanos 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
62′
S. Serdar 🔁
↦ O. Duda
62′
Dailon Livramento 🔁
↦ D. Lazović
69′
72′
🟨 Gianluca Caprari
72′
🔁 A. Bianco
↦ G. Caprari
73′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ Pedro Pereira
74′
Dany Mota 0–2
M. Đurić
D. Faraoni 🔁
↦ D. Bradarić
77′
79′
A. Bianco 0–3
85′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ M. Pessina
85′
🔁 M. Marić
↦ M. Đurić
90′
🔁 S. Vignato
↦ Dany Mota
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Verona

4-4-2
1 L. Montipò G
38 J. Tchatchoua D
23 G. Magnani D
87 D. Ghilardi D
12 D. Bradarić D
8 D. Lazović M
6 R. Belahyane M
33 O. Duda M
31 T. Suslov M
35 D. Mosquera F
11 C. Tengstedt F
Bench (15)
9 A. Sarr
20 G. Kastanos
25 S. Serdar
14 Dailon Livramento
5 D. Faraoni
17 A. Sishuba
42 D. Coppola
22 A. Berardi
21 Dani Silva
34 S. Perilli
15 Y. Okou
29 F. Alidou
4 F. Daniliuc
80 A. Cissè
82 C. Corradi

Coach: P. Zanetti

Monza

3-4-2-1
30 S. Turati G
4 A. Izzo D
22 Pablo Marí D
44 A. Carboni D
13 Pedro Pereira M
32 M. Pessina M
38 W. Bondo M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
47 Dany Mota F
10 G. Caprari F
11 M. Đurić F
Bench (13)
42 A. Bianco
33 D. D'Ambrosio
6 R. Gagliardini
24 M. Marić
80 S. Vignato
84 P. Ciurria
69 A. Mazza
5 L. Caldirola
27 M. Valoti
55 K. Maussi Martins
52 N. Postiglione
20 O. Forson
21 S. Pizzignacco

Coach: A. Nesta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,03
B ✓
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.