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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Monza

S T T T T

0–2

Full-time

Atalanta

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

2,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 20. · Atalanta 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	3	2	0	+8	11
2	Milan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Udinese	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Roma	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
7	Inter	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Verona	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Cremonese	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Roma	3	1	1	1	-3	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.