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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Udinese
S T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Roma
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 18. · Roma 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Inter 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Verona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Juventus 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Bologna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Fiorentina 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Spezia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -3 3
15 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Roma 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Udinese 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Parma 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Roma
Half-time 0–1
55′
Pedro 0–1
N. Molina 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
62′
F. Forestieri 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
63′
71′
🔁 Carles Pérez
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
Stefano Okaka 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 B. Cristante
↦ L. Pellegrini
83′
🔁 J. Kluivert
↦ Pedro
I. Nestorovski 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
86′
M. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Becão
87′
94′
🔁 Gonzalo Villar
↦ E. Džeko
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
87 S. De Maio D
3 Samir D
18 H. ter Avest M
5 T. Ouwejan M
50 Rodrigo Becão D
37 R. Pereyra M
22 T. Arslan M
10 R. De Paul M
7 S. Okaka F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
16 N. Molina
45 F. Forestieri
30 I. Nestorovski
99 M. Coulibaly
64 M. Palumbo
31 M. Gasparini
88 Nícolas
90 M. Zeegelaar
21 M. Ballarini
29 P. Mićin
24 T. Battistella
4 S. Prödl

Coach: L. Gotti

Roma

3-4-2-1
83 A. Mirante G
18 D. Santon M
37 L. Spinazzola M
23 G. Mancini D
24 M. Kumbulla D
3 Ibañez D
77 H. Mkhitaryan F
17 J. Veretout M
7 L. Pellegrini M
9 E. Džeko F
11 Pedro F
Bench (10)
31 Carles Pérez
4 B. Cristante
99 J. Kluivert
14 Gonzalo Villar
61 R. Calafiori
13 Pau López
1 R. Olsen
48 M. Antonucci
42 A. Diawara
33 Bruno Peres

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,10
U
3,98
B ✓
1,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.