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Serie A

Referee: P Valeri

Bologna

T S T U T

4–1

Full-time

Parma

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 16. · Parma 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Roma	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Roma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.