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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Fiorentina

U S S U T

4–0

Full-time

Bologna

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 31%

28%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

64%

Both score Ø 71%

64%

78%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 12. · Bologna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	36	26	5	5	+37	83
2	Inter	37	23	10	4	+43	79
3	Atalanta	37	23	9	5	+52	78
4	Lazio	37	24	6	7	+39	78
5	Roma	36	19	7	10	+23	64
6	Milan	37	18	9	10	+14	63
7	Napoli	37	17	8	12	+9	59
8	Sassuolo	37	14	9	14	+7	51
9	Verona	37	12	13	12	-1	49
10	Parma	37	13	7	17	-2	46
11	Bologna	36	12	10	14	-9	46
12	Fiorentina	36	10	13	13	-3	43
13	Cagliari	36	10	12	14	-3	42
14	Udinese	37	11	9	17	-15	42
15	Sampdoria	37	12	5	20	-17	41
16	Torino	36	11	6	19	-21	39
17	Genoa	37	9	9	19	-29	36
18	Lecce	37	9	8	20	-32	35
19	Brescia	37	6	6	25	-44	24
20	Spal	37	5	5	27	-48	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	16	2	0	+31	50
2	Lazio	19	14	3	2	+29	45
3	Inter	19	11	6	2	+23	39
4	Atalanta	18	12	2	4	+27	38
5	Roma	19	10	4	5	+9	34
6	Verona	19	9	5	5	+4	32
7	Milan	18	8	6	4	+8	30
8	Napoli	18	9	3	6	+5	30
9	Sassuolo	18	8	3	7	+12	27
10	Torino	18	7	4	7	-6	25
11	Udinese	19	6	6	7	-5	24
12	Parma	19	7	2	10	+2	23
13	Cagliari	18	6	4	8	+2	22
14	Bologna	18	5	7	6	-4	22
15	Sampdoria	19	6	4	9	-5	22
16	Fiorentina	18	4	8	6	-4	20
17	Genoa	18	6	1	11	-10	19
18	Lecce	18	4	5	9	-10	17
19	Brescia	18	3	4	11	-13	13
20	Spal	18	2	4	12	-22	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	19	11	7	1	+25	40
2	Inter	18	12	4	2	+20	40
3	Lazio	18	10	3	5	+10	33
4	Milan	19	10	3	6	+6	33
5	Juventus	18	10	3	5	+6	33
6	Roma	17	9	3	5	+14	30
7	Napoli	19	8	5	6	+4	29
8	Bologna	18	7	3	8	-5	24
9	Sassuolo	19	6	6	7	-5	24
10	Fiorentina	18	6	5	7	+1	23
11	Parma	18	6	5	7	-4	23
12	Cagliari	18	4	8	6	-5	20
13	Sampdoria	18	6	1	11	-12	19
14	Udinese	18	5	3	10	-10	18
15	Lecce	19	5	3	11	-22	18
16	Verona	18	3	8	7	-5	17
17	Genoa	19	3	8	8	-19	17
18	Torino	18	4	2	12	-15	14
19	Brescia	19	3	2	14	-31	11
20	Spal	19	3	1	15	-26	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.