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Serie A
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
Benevento
T
0–1
Full-time
Bologna
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 15. · Bologna 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Inter 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Bologna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Torino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Lazio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Verona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Bologna
21′
🔁 F. Helander
↦ D. Maietta
39′
🟨 Andrea Poli
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 I. M'baye
↦ V. Torosidis
55′
⚽ G. Donsah 0–1
M. Destro
G. Puşcaş 🔁
↦ F. Ceravolo
58′
70′
🔁 L. Crisetig
↦ G. Donsah
77′
🟨 Antonio Mirante
Lorenzo Del Pinto 🟨
79′
N. Viola 🔁
↦ L. Del Pinto
81′
K. Cissé 🔁
↦ G. Di Chiara
87′
90′
🟨 Sebastian De Maio
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Benevento

4-4-2
1 V. Belec G
21 A. Costa D
5 F. Lucioni D
17 G. Di Chiara D
23 L. Venuti D
7 M. D'Alessandro M
4 L. Del Pinto M
10 A. Ciciretti M
8 D. Cataldi M
9 F. Ceravolo F
11 M. Coda F
Bench (11)
32 G. Puşcaş
14 N. Viola
19 K. Cissé
3 G. Letizia
6 B. Djimsiti
13 R. Chibsah
15 M. Camporese
18 B. Gyamfi
22 A. Brignoli
27 M. Eramo
99 E. Brignola

Coach: M. Baroni

Bologna

4-3-3
83 A. Mirante G
35 V. Torosidis D
6 S. De Maio D
20 D. Maietta D
25 A. Masina D
16 A. Poli M
8 S. Taïder M
77 G. Donsah M
10 M. Destro F
9 S. Verdi F
14 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (11)
18 F. Helander
15 I. M'baye
12 L. Crisetig
2 Á. Nagy
3 G. González
4 E. Krafth
7 B. Petković
11 L. Krejčí
24 R. Palacio
29 A. Santurro
34 F. Ravaglia

Coach: R. Donadoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gianpaolo Calvarese · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.