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Serie A
Referee: M Piccinini
Benevento
S S T S S
2–5
Full-time
Inter
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
7,0
Scored
3,0
4,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 12
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 10. · Inter 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Verona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Juventus 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bologna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Inter 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Benevento 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -3 3
13 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Roma 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Spezia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Sampdoria 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Parma 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Crotone 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Inter
1′
R. Lukaku 0–1
A. Hakimi
25′
R. Gagliardini 0–2
A. Young
28′
R. Lukaku 0–3
R. Gagliardini
1–3 G. Caprari
34′
G. Letizia 🔁
↦ F. Barba
37′
42′
A. Hakimi 1–4
Half-time 1–4
A. Tuia 🔁
↦ R. Insigne
46′
D. Foulon 🔁
↦ C. Maggio
46′
52′
🔁 N. Barella
↦ A. Vidal
G. Lapadula 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
63′
65′
🔁 I. Perišić
↦ A. Young
65′
🔁 L. Martínez
↦ R. Lukaku
65′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ S. Sensi
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
70′
71′
L. Martínez 1–5
A. Sánchez
Pasquale Schiattarella 🟨
73′
2–5 G. Caprari
G. Lapadula
76′
81′
🔁 C. Eriksen
↦ R. Gagliardini
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Benevento

4-3-3
1 L. Montipò G
11 C. Maggio D
15 K. Glik D
5 L. Caldirola D
93 F. Barba D
29 A. Ioniţă M
28 P. Schiattarella M
14 B. Dabo M
17 G. Caprari F
19 R. Insigne F
21 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
3 G. Letizia
13 A. Tuia
18 D. Foulon
9 G. Lapadula
56 P. Hetemaj
80 P. Gori
12 N. Manfredini
44 Iago Falqué
25 M. Sau
4 L. Del Pinto
20 G. Di Serio
16 R. Improta

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Inter

3-4-1-2
1 S. Handanovič G
15 A. Young M
11 A. Kolarov D
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
2 A. Hakimi M
22 A. Vidal F
5 R. Gagliardini M
12 S. Sensi M
7 A. Sánchez F
9 R. Lukaku F
Bench (12)
23 N. Barella
14 I. Perišić
10 L. Martínez
77 M. Brozović
24 C. Eriksen
29 Dalbert Henrique
27 D. Padelli
97 I. Radu
95 A. Bastoni
99 A. Pinamonti
33 D. D'Ambrosio
13 A. Ranocchia

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,28
U
5,19
B ✓
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,50
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.