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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Real Madrid

S U S S S

4–1

Full-time

Espanol

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4,46 xG 0,34

73% Possession 27%

31 Shots 10

14 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 5

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Espanol 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.9	15
2	Ath Madrid	5	3	2	0	+7	+7.3	11
3	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+7	+6.7	11
4	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+3	+1.5	11
5	Alaves	6	3	1	2	+2	+2.6	10
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.0	10
7	Osasuna	6	3	1	2	-3	-2.7	10
8	Celta	5	3	0	2	+3	+0.8	9
9	Betis	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.5	8
10	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	+0	+0.4	8
11	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.2	7
12	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.6	7
13	Girona	6	2	1	3	-2	+2.4	7
14	Sevilla	6	1	2	3	-3	-0.7	5
15	Sociedad	7	1	2	4	-4	-3.1	5
16	Leganes	6	1	2	3	-4	-4.0	5
17	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	-11	-6.0	5
18	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	-6.6	4
19	Getafe	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.4	3
20	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-5	-6.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.9	10
2	Celta	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.0	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	+5.5	7
4	Betis	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.1	7
5	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
6	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.2	6
7	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.7	6
8	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
9	Valladolid	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.5	5
10	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.2	5
11	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
12	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.9	4
13	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
14	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
15	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.4	3
16	Leganes	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
17	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
18	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
19	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.7	2
20	Sociedad	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.7	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
3	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.7	6
4	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.1	5
5	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.4	5
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
7	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
8	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.6	4
9	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
10	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
11	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.3	2
12	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-2	-3.6	2
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
14	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.2	1
15	Betis	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
17	Las Palmas	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.9	0
18	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-6	-4.8	0
19	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.6	0
20	Valladolid	3	0	0	3	-12	-6.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.