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Champions League
Referee: S Vincic
Ath Madrid
S T U S S
5–1
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,8
6,0
Scored
2,3
3,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4,44 xG 0,59
51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Ein Frankfurt
1–0 G. Raspadori ⚽
4′
Clément Lenglet 🟨
14′
2–0 R. Le Normand ⚽
A. Griezmann
33′
41′
🟨 Nathaniel Brown
3–0 A. Griezmann ⚽
J. Alvarez
45′
Half-time 3–0
Koke 🔁
↦ G. Raspadori
55′
57′
⚽ J. Burkardt 3–1
A. Knauff
58′
🔁 A. Amenda
↦ N. Collins
58′
🔁 O. Hojlund
↦ E. Skhiri
58′
🔁 H. Larsson
↦ C. Y. Uzun
Antoine Griezmann ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
68′
4–1 G. Simeone ⚽
J. Alvarez
70′
71′
🔁 J. Bahoya
↦ N. Brown
74′
🔁 M. Gotze
↦ R. Doan
N. Molina 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
75′
N. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ P. Barrios
75′
Antoine Griezmann ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
5–1 J. Alvarez ⚽
82′
A. Baena 🔁
↦ J. Alvarez
90′
C. Martin 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
90′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
24 R. Le Normand D
15 C. Lenglet D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
4 C. Gallagher M
8 P. Barrios M
22 G. Raspadori M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (11)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
6 Koke
10 A. Baena
12 C. Martin
16 N. Molina
17 D. Hancko
18 M. Pubill
21 J. Galan
23 N. Gonzalez
28 T. Seidu

Coach: Diego Simeone

Ein Frankfurt

4-2-3-1
40 Kaua Santos G
34 N. Collins D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
21 N. Brown D
8 F. Chaibi M
15 E. Skhiri M
20 R. Doan M
42 C. Y. Uzun M
7 A. Knauff M
9 J. Burkardt F
Bench (12)
23 M. Zetterer
2 E. Baum
5 A. Amenda
6 O. Hojlund
16 H. Larsson
17 E. Wahi
18 M. Dahoud
19 J. Bahoya
22 T. Chandler
24 Buta
27 M. Gotze
30 M. Batshuayi

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vincic · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.