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La Liga

Referee: César Soto Grado

Osasuna

S U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Vallecano

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,59 xG 1,09

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 15. · Vallecano 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	+4.8	12
2	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+2	+4.6	9
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.7	9
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+5	+3.8	7
5	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
6	Espanol	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.7	7
7	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.6	7
8	Elche	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.7	6
9	Betis	5	1	3	1	+0	+2.5	6
10	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.2	5
11	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.3	4
12	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.7	4
13	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.5	4
14	Celta	5	0	4	1	-2	+1.6	4
15	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.7	3
16	Oviedo	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.6	3
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.5	2
18	Levante	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.7	1
19	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
20	Girona	4	0	1	3	-9	-6.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.0	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.1	6
5	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
7	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
10	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
12	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.6	3
13	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
14	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
15	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
18	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
19	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.4	6
3	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.6	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Betis	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
8	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
9	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
14	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-5	-4.0	1
16	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
17	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
19	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
20	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.