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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Ath Madrid
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Elche
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
0,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Elche 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Valencia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Mallorca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Ath Bilbao 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Granada 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Espanol 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
6,07
B
15,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.