La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Madrid
Elche
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Valencia
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |
Mallorca
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Betis
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 9 |
Cadiz
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 11 |
Granada
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 14 |
Levante
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 15 |
Osasuna
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 16 |
Elche
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Getafe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 20 |
Vallecano
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celta
Ath Madrid
Valladolid
Ath Madrid
Ath Madrid
Osasuna
Ath Madrid
Sociedad
Barcelona
Ath Madrid
Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.