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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Elche
U U S T T
2–0
Full-time
Malaga
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
40%
38%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 2. · Malaga 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 40 20 13 7 +25 73
2 Elche 40 20 11 9 +19 71
3 Mirandes 40 21 8 11 +17 71
4 Oviedo 40 19 12 9 +12 69
5 Santander 40 19 10 11 +13 67
6 Almeria 40 18 11 11 +15 65
7 Granada 40 17 11 12 +11 62
8 Huesca 40 17 10 13 +12 61
9 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
10 Eibar 40 14 13 13 +1 55
11 Cordoba 40 14 12 14 -1 54
12 Burgos 40 15 9 16 -6 54
13 La Coruna 40 13 14 13 +7 53
14 Cadiz 40 13 13 14 -1 52
15 Malaga 40 12 16 12 -2 52
16 Castellon 40 13 11 16 +0 50
17 Sp Gijon 40 12 14 14 +0 50
18 Zaragoza 40 12 12 16 -5 48
19 Eldense 40 11 11 18 -18 44
20 Tenerife 40 8 12 20 -17 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 40 6 5 29 -42 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Malaga
13′
🟨 Diego Murillo
Half-time 0–0
Aleix Febas 🟨
48′
60′
🔁 Izan Merino
↦ Manu Molina
60′
🔁 Einar Galilea
↦ Álex Pastor
M. El Ghezouani 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
65′
Josan 🔁
↦ Pejiño
65′
Jairo Izquierdo 🔁
↦ José Salinas
75′
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
75′
1–0 S. Kaba
Josan
76′
Sory Kaba 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 Dioni
↦ Chupe
79′
🔁 Kevin Medina
↦ Julen Lobete
86′
🔁 Dani Lorenzo
↦ Luismi
Álvaro Núñez 🔁
↦ John Donald
87′
2–0 M. El Ghezouani
Josan
93′
Full-time 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
U
5,25
B
11,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.