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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Elche
S S U U S
1–3
Full-time
Levante
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
37%
55%
Both score Ø 51%
39%
63%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

78% Possession 22%
24 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
5 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 1. · Levante 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 38 20 11 7 +22 71
2 Mirandes 39 20 8 11 +16 68
3 Levante 38 18 13 7 +22 67
4 Santander 38 19 9 10 +15 66
5 Oviedo 38 18 11 9 +11 65
6 Almeria 39 17 11 11 +13 62
7 Granada 38 16 11 11 +12 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 +12 58
9 Cordoba 38 14 12 12 +1 54
10 La Coruna 39 13 14 12 +8 53
11 Cadiz 39 13 13 13 +0 52
12 Albacete 38 13 12 13 -2 51
13 Burgos 38 14 9 15 -6 51
14 Sp Gijon 39 12 14 13 +1 50
15 Castellon 39 13 10 16 +0 49
16 Malaga 38 11 16 11 -2 49
17 Eibar 38 12 13 13 -2 49
18 Zaragoza 38 11 12 15 -5 45
19 Eldense 38 10 10 18 -19 40
20 Tenerife 38 8 11 19 -16 35
21 Ferrol 38 5 11 22 -39 26
22 Cartagena 38 5 5 28 -42 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Levante
11′
Roger Brugué 0–1
13′
ℹ️ José Luis Morales
VAR: Goal confirmed
Agustín Álvarez 🟨
17′
21′
🟨 Ángel Algobia
Jose Salinas 🟨
30′
32′
Roger Brugué 0–2
Carlos Álvarez
Half-time 0–2
Nicolás Fernández 🟨
46′
M. El Ghezouani 🔁
↦ José Salinas
55′
62′
🟨 Roger Brugué
Pejiño 🔁
↦ Germán Valera
64′
1–2 M. El Ghezouani
N. Fernández
65′
71′
🔁 Vicente Iborra
↦ Ángel Algobia
71′
🔁 Álex Forés
↦ José Luis Morales
71′
🔁 G. Kochorashvili
↦ Pablo Martínez
75′
Álex Forés 1–3
Carlos Álvarez
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
78′
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ N. Fernández
78′
Jairo Izquierdo 🔁
↦ Pedro Bigas
78′
82′
ℹ️ Carlos Álvarez
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
🔁 Sergio Lozano
↦ Roger Brugué
87′
🔁 Xavi Grande
↦ Carlos Álvarez
99′
🟨 Álex Forés
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
17 Josan M
21 N. Castro M
14 Aleix Febas M
20 Germán Valera M
9 A. Álvarez F
10 N. Fernández F
Bench (12)
19 M. El Ghezouani
23 Pejiño
7 Óscar Plano
18 S. Kaba
3 Jairo Izquierdo
2 Mario Gaspar
16 Álex Martín
5 John Donald
1 Miguel San Román
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
8 Marc Aguado
31 Gerard Hernández

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Levante

4-4-2
1 Andrés Fernández G
4 Adrián de la Fuente D
5 Unai Elgezabal D
18 Ignasi Miquel D
16 Diego Pampín D
24 Carlos Álvarez M
8 Ángel Algobia M
20 Oriol Rey M
23 Pablo Martínez M
7 Roger Brugué F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (11)
10 Vicente Iborra
19 Álex Forés
6 G. Kochorashvili
21 Sergio Lozano
31 Xavi Grande
29 Marcos Navarro
32 Álex Primo
22 Manu Sánchez
30 Víctor Fernández
13 Alfonso Pastor
38 Carlos Espí

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,00
U
3,32
B ✓
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.