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Copa del Rey

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz

Atlético Lugones

T S

0–6

Full-time

Vallecano

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Lugones Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Turégano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Quintanar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Turégano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Quintanar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.