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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Real Madrid

U S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Girona

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

91%

18%

Points per game

2,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

82%

55%

Both score Ø 82%

82%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

2,5

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Girona 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	1	1	+25	31
2	Real Madrid	11	10	1	0	+19	31
3	Ath Madrid	12	7	2	3	+8	23
4	Sociedad	11	7	1	3	+3	22
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
6	Osasuna	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Ath Bilbao	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Villarreal	11	5	3	3	+7	18
9	Vallecano	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Valencia	12	4	3	5	+4	15
11	Valladolid	12	4	2	6	-6	14
12	Mallorca	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Almeria	12	4	1	7	-5	13
14	Espanol	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Celta	12	3	2	7	-11	11
16	Getafe	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Sevilla	12	2	4	6	-8	10
18	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	-16	10
19	Girona	11	2	3	6	-4	9
20	Elche	11	0	4	7	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Betis	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Osasuna	7	5	0	2	+4	15
4	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+8	13
5	Almeria	6	4	0	2	+4	12
6	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+7	10
7	Valencia	7	3	1	3	+5	10
8	Vallecano	5	3	1	1	+4	10
9	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Valladolid	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+0	10
12	Girona	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Ath Madrid	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Cadiz	7	1	3	3	-8	6
16	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Getafe	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Elche	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Sociedad	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ath Bilbao	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Valencia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Betis	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Cadiz	5	1	1	3	-8	4
17	Celta	6	1	0	5	-11	3
18	Elche	6	0	2	4	-11	2
19	Girona	5	0	1	4	-4	1
20	Almeria	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.