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Süper Lig

Referee: Y Uğurlu

Ankaragücü

S T S T U

4–1

Full-time

Hatayspor

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

20%

30%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

70%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ankaragücü 17. · Hatayspor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	7	2	1	+19	23
2	Ad. Demirspor	11	6	4	1	+10	22
3	Galatasaray	11	6	3	2	+5	21
4	Trabzonspor	11	6	3	2	+3	21
5	Buyuksehyr	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	Konyaspor	12	5	5	2	+6	20
7	Besiktas	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Kayserispor	11	6	1	4	+5	19
9	Alanyaspor	12	4	4	4	-3	16
10	Gaziantep	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Kasimpasa	12	4	2	6	-11	14
12	Karagumruk	11	3	3	5	-1	12
13	Sivasspor	11	2	4	5	-3	10
14	Antalyaspor	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Hatayspor	10	3	1	6	-8	10
16	Giresunspor	10	2	3	5	-7	9
17	Ankaragücü	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	İstanbulspor	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Ümraniyespor	10	0	3	7	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Buyuksehyr	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Kayserispor	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Besiktas	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Ad. Demirspor	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Trabzonspor	5	3	2	0	+3	11
8	Konyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+4	8
10	Sivasspor	6	1	4	1	+2	7
11	Karagumruk	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Antalyaspor	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Hatayspor	5	2	1	2	-3	7
15	Kasimpasa	6	2	0	4	-9	6
16	Giresunspor	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Ümraniyespor	6	0	1	5	-6	1
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	4	2	1	+4	14
2	Ad. Demirspor	6	3	2	1	+5	11
3	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+4	9
5	Besiktas	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	-2	8
7	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+8	7
8	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Kayserispor	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	İstanbulspor	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Gaziantep	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Giresunspor	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Alanyaspor	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Antalyaspor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Sivasspor	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Hatayspor	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Ümraniyespor	4	0	2	2	-2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.