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Coupe de France
Referee: T Rocaboy

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vire 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Belfort 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Châtellerault 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Villerupt Thil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Saint-Estève Perpignan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Thiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Boé Bon Encontre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Bellevue Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Vierzon FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Marnaval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Limonest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Wasquehal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Colomiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Marcoussis Nozay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Pays de Cassel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Évreux 27 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Stade Pontivy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Avoine OCC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Alençon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Montauban TG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Lège-Cap-Ferret 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
107 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
127 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
128 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
129 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
130 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
131 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
132 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
133 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
134 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
135 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
136 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
137 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
145 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
146 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
147 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
148 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
149 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
150 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
151 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
152 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
153 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
154 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
155 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
156 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
157 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
158 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.