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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Lorient

S S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Nice

S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

75%

58%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 4. · Nice 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+28	35
2	Lens	13	9	3	1	+14	30
3	Rennes	13	8	3	2	+16	27
4	Lorient	12	8	3	1	+7	27
5	Marseille	13	7	3	3	+11	24
6	Monaco	13	7	3	3	+7	24
7	Lille	12	7	1	4	+4	22
8	Clermont	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Lyon	12	5	2	5	+5	17
10	Toulouse	13	4	4	5	-4	16
11	Troyes	13	3	4	6	-4	13
12	Nice	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	Reims	13	2	7	4	-6	13
14	Montpellier	13	4	0	9	-5	12
15	Nantes	13	2	6	5	-6	12
16	Auxerre	13	3	3	7	-12	12
17	Strasbourg	13	1	7	5	-7	10
18	Brest	13	2	4	7	-12	10
19	Ajaccio	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Angers	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Rennes	7	6	0	1	+14	18
3	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Toulouse	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Lille	6	4	0	2	-1	12
9	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Nantes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-2	9
12	Auxerre	7	2	3	2	-2	9
13	Clermont	6	3	0	3	-5	9
14	Troyes	6	1	4	1	-1	7
15	Reims	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Nice	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Strasbourg	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Angers	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Brest	6	0	3	3	-9	3
20	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Lorient	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Monaco	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Lille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Lens	6	2	3	1	+3	9
7	Clermont	7	2	3	2	+2	9
8	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Nice	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Reims	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Brest	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Ajaccio	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Troyes	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Lyon	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Toulouse	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Angers	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Montpellier	6	1	0	5	-3	3
19	Nantes	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Auxerre	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.