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Coupe de France
Referee: J Janvillier
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau
1–1
Full-time
Sporting Baie-Mahault

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vire 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Loon-Plage 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Belfort 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 La Châtaigneraie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Châtellerault 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Villerupt Thil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Saint-Estève Perpignan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Thiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Boé Bon Encontre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Bellevue Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Vierzon FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Marnaval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Limonest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Wasquehal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Colomiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Marcoussis Nozay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Pays de Cassel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Évreux 27 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Stade Pontivy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Avoine OCC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Alençon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Montauban TG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Grand Santi 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Lège-Cap-Ferret 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
133 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
134 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
135 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
136 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
137 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
151 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
152 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
153 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
154 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
155 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
156 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
157 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
158 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
159 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
163 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
164 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
165 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
166 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau Sporting Baie-Mahault
1–0 J. Gamby ⚽
1′
11′
⚽ S. Raabon 1–1
Half-time 1–1
48′
🔁 G. He Agat
↦ J. Delag
64′
🔁 M. Saint-Marc
↦ F. Marie-Joseph
A. Vulgaire 🔁
↦ J. Dyvrande
69′
90′
🔁 Y. Daibissaram
↦ E. Clodion
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau

S. Jasmin
C. Boncoeur
W. Laurence
J. Eliezer
M. Justine
E. Michineau
H. Dezac
J. Dyvrande
J. Gamby
E. Anatol
R. Zenon
Bench (7)
A. Vulgaire
C. Ogoli-Socin
J. Danican
J. Gatibelza
L. Manette
S. Languedoc
W. Lazarre

Coach: M. Castry

Sporting Baie-Mahault

L. Biodore
E. Clodion
F. Exilien
J. Volmar
N. Rouyard
S. Zubar
G. Minatchy
J. Delag
F. Marie-Joseph
S. Raabon
J. Eliacin
Bench (7)
G. He Agat
M. Saint-Marc
Y. Daibissaram
D. Bevis
L. Peccatus
U. Godard
Y. Pheron

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.