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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Badstübner

Paderborn

T S S U U

2–3

Full-time

Hamburg

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 62%

62%

Points per game

2,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

77%

38%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 2. · Hamburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	14	8	5	1	+10	29
2	Paderborn	13	8	2	3	+20	26
3	Hamburg	13	8	1	4	+6	25
4	Heidenheim	14	6	6	2	+8	24
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	2	5	+8	23
6	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+5	21
7	Kaiserslautern	14	4	8	2	+2	20
8	Holstein Kiel	14	5	5	4	-1	20
9	Regensburg	14	5	3	6	-7	18
10	Karlsruhe	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	Hansa Rostock	14	5	2	7	-6	17
12	Braunschweig	13	4	4	5	-6	16
13	St Pauli	14	3	6	5	-1	15
14	Nurnberg	14	4	3	7	-9	15
15	Magdeburg	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	Greuther Furth	14	2	7	5	-6	13
17	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-6	12
18	Bielefeld	14	3	2	9	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Darmstadt	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Heidenheim	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	St Pauli	7	3	4	0	+7	13
6	Regensburg	8	3	3	2	-4	12
7	Holstein Kiel	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Greuther Furth	8	2	5	1	+0	11
11	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
13	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
14	Kaiserslautern	8	2	4	2	-2	10
15	Bielefeld	6	3	0	3	+1	9
16	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-2	9
17	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Darmstadt	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Kaiserslautern	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Hannover	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Heidenheim	8	2	4	2	+1	10
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	1	4	-1	10
7	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	-5	9
8	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Hansa Rostock	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Karlsruhe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Regensburg	6	2	0	4	-3	6
14	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Greuther Furth	6	0	2	4	-6	2
16	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	St Pauli	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Bielefeld	8	0	2	6	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.