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Serie B

Referee: D Minelli

Perugia

T T T T S

0–2

Full-time

Cittadella

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

30%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

6 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 20. · Cittadella 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	11	8	0	3	+10	24
2	Genoa	11	6	4	1	+6	22
3	Ternana	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Reggina	11	6	1	4	+11	19
5	Bari	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Parma	11	5	4	2	+5	19
7	Ascoli	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Brescia	11	5	3	3	-1	18
9	Sudtirol	11	5	3	3	-1	18
10	Cagliari	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Spal	11	3	5	3	+2	14
12	Modena	11	4	0	7	-1	12
13	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Pisa	11	2	5	4	+0	11
15	Cittadella	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Cosenza	11	3	2	6	-8	11
17	Benevento	11	2	4	5	-3	10
18	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-6	9
19	Como	11	2	3	6	-10	9
20	Perugia	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Parma	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Reggina	5	4	0	1	+12	12
4	Brescia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Spal	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Ternana	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Modena	6	3	0	3	+3	9
9	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Como	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Ascoli	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Genoa	5	1	4	0	+1	7
15	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
16	Cosenza	5	2	0	3	+0	6
17	Pisa	5	1	2	2	+0	5
18	Benevento	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Perugia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Venezia	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genoa	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Bari	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Ternana	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Sudtirol	6	3	1	2	-2	10
6	Frosinone	6	3	0	3	+1	9
7	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Reggina	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Brescia	6	2	1	3	-5	7
10	Parma	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Pisa	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Benevento	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Cosenza	6	1	2	3	-8	5
15	Spal	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Palermo	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Modena	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Perugia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Cittadella	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Como	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.