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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Empoli
S T U S T
0–2
Full-time
Atalanta
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
18%
64%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
36%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 11
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 12. · Atalanta 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Milan 11 8 2 1 +13 26
3 Lazio 11 7 3 1 +18 24
4 Inter 12 8 0 4 +8 24
5 Atalanta 11 7 3 1 +8 24
6 Juventus 12 6 4 2 +11 22
7 Roma 11 7 1 3 +3 22
8 Udinese 11 6 3 2 +8 21
9 Sassuolo 12 4 3 5 -3 15
10 Torino 11 4 2 5 -3 14
11 Salernitana 11 3 4 4 -3 13
12 Empoli 11 2 5 4 -6 11
13 Bologna 11 2 4 5 -5 10
14 Fiorentina 11 2 4 5 -5 10
15 Monza 11 3 1 7 -9 10
16 Spezia 11 2 3 6 -11 9
17 Lecce 12 1 5 6 -6 8
18 Sampdoria 12 1 3 8 -15 6
19 Verona 11 1 2 8 -11 5
20 Cremonese 11 0 4 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Atalanta
32′
H. Hateboer 0–1
Koni De Winter 🟨
37′
Mattia Destro 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
S. Walukiewicz 🔁
↦ S. Luperto
46′
A. Ismajli 🔁
↦ K. De Winter
55′
55′
🔁 B. Djimsiti
↦ G. Scalvini
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ M. Pjaca
56′
59′
A. Lookman 0–2
M. Pašalić
65′
🔁 D. Zapata
↦ R. Højlund
65′
🔁 R. Malinovskyi
↦ Éderson
J. Fazzini 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
66′
J. Akpa Akpro 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
77′
83′
🟨 Hans Hateboer
89′
🔁 C. Okoli
↦ A. Lookman
89′
🔁 N. Zortea
↦ J. Mæhle
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-3
13 G. Vicario G
24 T. Ebuehi D
6 K. De Winter D
33 S. Luperto D
3 L. Cacace D
8 L. Henderson M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami F
23 M. Destro F
14 M. Pjaca F
Bench (15)
4 S. Walukiewicz
34 A. Ismajli
28 N. Cambiaghi
21 J. Fazzini
11 J. Akpa Akpro
20 D. Degli Innocenti
65 F. Parisi
35 T. Baldanzi
32 N. Haas
1 S. Perisan
17 E. Ekong
7 S. Lammers
30 P. Stojanović
22 S. Ujkani
9 M. Satriano

Coach: P. Zanetti

Atalanta

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
2 R. Tolói D
28 M. Demiral D
42 G. Scalvini D
33 H. Hateboer M
88 M. Pašalić M
13 Éderson M
7 T. Koopmeiners M
3 J. Mæhle M
11 A. Lookman F
17 R. Højlund F
Bench (10)
19 B. Djimsiti
91 D. Zapata
18 R. Malinovskyi
5 C. Okoli
21 N. Zortea
93 B. Soppy
31 F. Rossi
22 M. Ruggeri
57 M. Sportiello
10 J. Boga

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,35
U
3,79
B ✓
1,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.