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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ekberg

Hammarby

U S S U T

4–2

Full-time

Kalmar

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Allsvenskan · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

61%

32%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

17 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 3. · Kalmar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	29	18	9	2	+32	63
2	Djurgarden	28	16	6	6	+30	54
3	Hammarby	28	14	8	6	+29	50
4	AIK	29	14	8	7	+10	50
5	Kalmar	28	14	6	8	+12	48
6	Elfsborg	28	11	10	7	+16	43
7	Malmo FF	28	12	6	10	+7	42
8	Goteborg	29	13	3	13	+0	42
9	Mjallby	29	10	10	9	-1	40
10	Varnamo	29	9	10	10	-10	37
11	Sirius	29	9	8	12	-10	35
12	Norrkoping	28	8	9	11	-1	33
13	Degerfors	29	7	9	13	-17	30
14	Varberg	28	7	7	14	-24	28
15	Helsingborg	28	4	5	19	-25	17
16	Sundsvall	29	4	2	23	-48	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	14	11	1	2	+28	34
2	Hacken	14	9	3	2	+17	30
3	Hammarby	14	8	5	1	+22	29
4	Kalmar	14	9	2	3	+9	29
5	AIK	14	8	4	2	+11	28
6	Malmo FF	14	8	3	3	+12	27
7	Elfsborg	14	7	5	2	+11	26
8	Goteborg	15	7	3	5	+1	24
9	Varnamo	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Mjallby	15	5	6	4	+1	21
11	Degerfors	15	5	6	4	-1	21
12	Sirius	14	6	2	6	+1	20
13	Norrkoping	14	5	4	5	+5	19
14	Varberg	14	4	5	5	-7	17
15	Sundsvall	15	4	0	11	-18	12
16	Helsingborg	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	15	9	6	0	+15	33
2	AIK	15	6	4	5	-1	22
3	Hammarby	14	6	3	5	+7	21
4	Djurgarden	14	5	5	4	+2	20
5	Kalmar	14	5	4	5	+3	19
6	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	19
7	Goteborg	14	6	0	8	-1	18
8	Elfsborg	14	4	5	5	+5	17
9	Varnamo	15	4	4	7	-12	16
10	Malmo FF	14	4	3	7	-5	15
11	Sirius	15	3	6	6	-11	15
12	Norrkoping	14	3	5	6	-6	14
13	Varberg	14	3	2	9	-17	11
14	Degerfors	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Helsingborg	14	2	2	10	-14	8
16	Sundsvall	14	0	2	12	-30	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.