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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Real Madrid
S S T S S
6–3
Full-time
Girona
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 52%
61%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
46%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 10
14 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 4. · Girona 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 23 6 0 +61 75
2 Ath Madrid 29 19 7 3 +35 64
3 Valencia 29 18 5 6 +26 59
4 Real Madrid 28 17 6 5 +37 57
5 Villarreal 29 14 5 10 +7 47
6 Sevilla 29 14 3 12 -7 45
7 Girona 28 12 7 9 +4 43
8 Betis 29 13 4 12 -4 43
9 Getafe 29 10 9 10 +8 39
10 Celta 29 11 6 12 +3 39
11 Eibar 29 11 6 12 -7 39
12 Leganes 29 10 6 13 -10 36
13 Ath Bilbao 29 8 11 10 -4 35
14 Espanol 29 8 11 10 -11 35
15 Sociedad 29 9 6 14 -1 33
16 Alaves 29 10 1 18 -19 31
17 Levante 29 5 12 12 -18 27
18 Las Palmas 29 5 6 18 -37 21
19 La Coruna 29 4 8 17 -34 20
20 Malaga 29 3 5 21 -29 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -17 Girona – Real Madrid 2–1

Match report

Real Madrid Girona
1–0 Cristiano Ronaldo
T. Kroos
11′
29′
C. Stuani 1–1
Granell
30′
🟨 Johan Mojica
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Cristiano Ronaldo
K. Benzema
47′
Daniel Carvajal 🟨
52′
3–1 Lucas Vázquez
Cristiano Ronaldo
59′
4–1 Cristiano Ronaldo
64′
67′
C. Stuani 4–2
Borja García
69′
🔁 A. Lozano
↦ Borja García
G. Bale 🔁
↦ Marco Asensio
70′
L. Modrić 🔁
↦ M. Kovačić
71′
Isco 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
83′
83′
🔁 Aday
↦ Pablo Maffeo
5–2 G. Bale
L. Modrić
86′
87′
🔁 M. Olunga
↦ C. Stuani
88′
Juanpe 5–3
Granell
90′
🟨 Alex Granell
6–3 Cristiano Ronaldo
T. Kroos
91′
Full-time 6–3

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-4-2
1 K. Navas G
12 Marcelo D
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
8 T. Kroos M
23 M. Kovačić M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
20 Marco Asensio M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 K. Benzema F
Bench (7)
11 G. Bale
10 L. Modrić
22 Isco
3 Jesús Vallejo
13 Kiko Casilla
14 Casemiro
15 T. Hernández

Coach: Z. Zidane

Girona

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
4 Ramalho D
2 B. Espinosa D
15 Juanpe D
3 J. Mojica M
25 Pablo Maffeo M
24 Borja García F
9 Portu F
6 Granell M
8 Pere Pons M
7 C. Stuani F
Bench (7)
19 A. Lozano
11 Aday
14 M. Olunga
1 Iraizoz
16 Timor
20 Muniesa
23 Aleix García

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.