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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Girona

U T T S U

1–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%

10 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 12. · Real Madrid 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Eibar	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.