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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Anderlecht
S T T T U
4–2
Full-time
Eupen
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 35%
43%
27%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 9. · Eupen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 13 12 1 0 +27 37
2 Antwerp 13 11 0 2 +15 33
3 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +17 31
4 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +14 28
5 Gent 12 7 1 4 +9 22
6 Standard 12 7 0 5 +3 21
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 6 3 5 +0 21
8 St Truiden 15 5 5 5 -2 20
9 Anderlecht 14 6 1 7 +7 19
10 Cercle Brugge 13 5 4 4 +2 19
11 Charleroi 15 6 1 8 -4 19
12 Westerlo 13 5 2 6 -5 17
13 Mechelen 16 5 2 9 -7 17
14 Kortrijk 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Oostende 16 4 3 9 -13 15
16 Waregem 16 4 2 10 -15 14
17 Eupen 15 4 0 11 -16 12
18 Seraing 14 3 2 9 -10 11
19 Seraing United 14 3 2 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Eupen
1–0 F. Amuzu
W. Hoedt
14′
17′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
2–0 L. Refaelov
19′
44′
W. Hoedt 3–0
own goal
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 R. Charles-Cook
↦ M. Wakaso
59′
🟨 Teddy Alloh
59′
🔁 I. Nuhu
↦ K. N’Dri
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
61′
4–0 L. Refaelov
A. Murillo
65′
Michael Murillo 🟨
67′
68′
S. Peeters 4–1
T. Leoni 🔁
↦ A. Diawara
75′
S. Esposito 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
75′
78′
🔁 R. Paeshuyse
↦ J. Davidson
83′
🔁 D. Gassama
↦ T. Alloh
83′
🔁 J. Déom
↦ G. Magnée
Fábio Silva 🟨
85′
5–1 A. Ait El Hadj
M. Ashimeru
87′
N. Sadiki 🔁
↦ A. Murillo
89′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
14 J. Vertonghen D
21 A. Diawara M
18 M. Ashimeru M
29 M. Stroeykens M
11 L. Refaelov M
7 F. Amuzu M
99 Fábio Silva F
Bench (7)
46 A. Ait El Hadj
71 T. Leoni
70 S. Esposito
27 N. Sadiki
3 H. Delcroix
5 M. N'Diaye
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: R. Veldman

Eupen

3-5-2
1 L. Moser G
2 Y. Van Genechten D
35 B. Lambert D
3 J. Davidson D
17 N. Bitumazala M
15 G. Magnée M
24 M. Wakaso M
8 S. Peeters M
29 T. Alloh M
11 K. N’Dri F
9 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
10 R. Charles-Cook
7 I. Nuhu
28 R. Paeshuyse
25 D. Gassama
14 J. Déom
4 J. Jeggo
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: K. Andersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,64
B
6,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.