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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Besiktas
U U S U T
5–2
Full-time
Ümraniyespor
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Ümraniyespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 23%
45%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
64%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 7. · Ümraniyespor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 10 7 2 1 +19 23
2 Ad. Demirspor 11 6 4 1 +10 22
3 Galatasaray 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
5 Buyuksehyr 10 6 2 2 +9 20
6 Konyaspor 12 5 5 2 +6 20
7 Besiktas 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Kayserispor 11 6 1 4 +5 19
9 Alanyaspor 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Gaziantep 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Kasimpasa 12 4 2 6 -11 14
12 Karagumruk 11 3 3 5 -1 12
13 Ankaragücü 11 3 2 6 -5 11
14 Sivasspor 11 2 4 5 -3 10
15 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -6 10
16 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
17 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -7 9
18 İstanbulspor 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Ümraniyespor 10 0 3 7 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Ümraniyespor
Wout Weghorst ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
4′
1–0 C. Tosun
5′
14′
🟨 Geraldo
2–0 W. Weghorst
C. Tosun
33′
45′
Y. Del Valle 2–1
U. Nayir
Half-time 2–1
U. Meraş 🔁
↦ A. Masuaku
46′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ V. Rosier
46′
N. Redmond 🔁
↦ D. Alli
46′
Arthur Masuaku 🟨
47′
3–1 T. Sanuç
Josef de Souza
48′
57′
D. Avounou 3–2
Geraldo
4–2 C. Tosun
N. Redmond
62′
65′
🟨 Allyson Aires Dos Santos
71′
🔁 K. Yılmaz
↦ S. Popov
71′
🔁 O. Gürbulak
↦ M. Eser
Romain Saïss 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Serkan Göksu
75′
🔁 A. Bettaieb
↦ D. Avounou
5–2 W. Weghorst
Gedson Fernandes
78′
G. Nkoudou 🔁
↦ Josef de Souza
81′
81′
🔁 M. Mimaroğlu
↦ S. Göksu
81′
🔁 V. Gheorghe
↦ Y. Del Valle
J. Muleka 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
90′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-3-2-1
34 M. Günok G
2 V. Rosier D
3 T. Sanuç D
26 R. Saïss D
25 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
5 Josef de Souza M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
9 C. Tosun M
11 D. Alli M
10 W. Weghorst F
Bench (10)
77 U. Meraş
88 T. Bingöl
15 N. Redmond
7 G. Nkoudou
40 J. Muleka
1 E. Destanoğlu
23 Welinton
4 Francisco Montero
17 K. Kesgin
20 N. Uysal

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Ümraniyespor

4-1-4-1
34 A. Demir G
90 S. Popov D
33 Allyson D
4 M. Eser D
16 O. Atasayar D
5 I. Sackey M
29 Geraldo M
8 S. Göksu M
14 D. Avounou M
28 Y. Del Valle M
18 U. Nayir F
Bench (10)
41 K. Yılmaz
20 O. Gürbulak
27 A. Bettaieb
10 M. Mimaroğlu
7 V. Gheorghe
39 A. Mršić
3 E. Lenjani
6 Y. Mertoğlu
13 O. Özdemir
23 F. Şanlitürk

Coach: R. Uçar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,33
U
5,19
B
8,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.