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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Lechia Gdansk

T S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Stal Mielec

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 37%

23%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

77%

43%

Both score Ø 41%

46%

36%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 17. · Stal Mielec 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	10	2	2	+15	32
2	Legia	15	8	4	3	+4	28
3	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	5	3	+6	26
4	Widzew Lodz	15	8	2	5	+6	26
5	Wisla Plock	15	7	4	4	+10	25
6	Stal Mielec	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Cracovia	15	6	4	5	+6	22
8	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+4	22
9	Radomiak Radom	14	6	2	6	-2	20
10	Slask Wroclaw	15	5	5	5	-4	20
11	Jagiellonia	15	4	6	5	+1	18
12	Warta Poznan	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Gornik Zabrze	14	4	5	5	-1	17
14	Zaglebie	15	4	5	6	-10	17
15	Piast Gliwice	15	3	4	8	-4	13
16	Korona Kielce	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Lechia Gdansk	13	3	2	8	-11	11
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Legia	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Jagiellonia	8	4	1	3	+4	13
7	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+4	11
9	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Piast Gliwice	7	2	1	4	+1	7
14	Zaglebie	8	1	4	3	-5	7
15	Korona Kielce	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Legnica	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Warta Poznan	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Widzew Lodz	8	4	1	3	+1	13
3	Lech Poznan	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Stal Mielec	7	4	0	3	-1	12
5	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Legia	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	Rakow	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Zaglebie	7	3	1	3	-5	10
11	Wisla Plock	8	2	3	3	+2	9
12	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Lechia Gdansk	8	3	0	5	-4	9
14	Korona Kielce	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	7	2	2	3	-4	8
16	Piast Gliwice	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Jagiellonia	7	0	5	2	-3	5
18	Legnica	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.