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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Sturm Graz
S U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Ried
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
62%
23%
Points per game
2,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
46%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Ried 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 14 10 3 1 +22 33
2 Sturm Graz 13 8 4 1 +14 28
3 LASK 14 7 5 2 +10 26
4 Austria Vienna 14 6 4 4 +1 22
5 Tirol 14 6 2 6 -1 20
6 A. Klagenfurt 14 6 2 6 -2 20
7 SK Rapid 14 5 3 6 +5 18
8 Wolfsberger AC 14 4 2 8 -5 14
9 A. Lustenau 14 3 5 6 -8 14
10 Altach 14 4 2 8 -11 14
11 Ried 13 3 3 7 -9 12
12 Hartberg 14 3 1 10 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -22 Ried – Sturm Graz 1–1 6. Mar -22 Ried – Sturm Graz 2–2 17. Oct -21 Sturm Graz – Ried 1–0 9. Feb -21 Sturm Graz – Ried 2–1 24. Oct -20 Ried – Sturm Graz 0–2

Match report

Sturm Graz Ried
1–0 J. Jantscher ⚽
22′
Half-time 1–1
59′
⚽ S. Nutz 1–1
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ J. Jantscher
63′
2–1 O. Kiteishvili ⚽
71′
72′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ S. Nutz
72′
🔁 C. Monschein
↦ S. Chabbi
J. Gorenc Stankovič 🔁
↦ A. Prass
74′
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ A. Ajeti
74′
80′
🔁 J. Wießmeier
↦ M. Gragger
M. Sarkaria 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
81′
D. Affengruber 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
82′
89′
🔁 M. Lackner
↦ L. Mikić
91′
🟨 Michael Martin
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
5 G. Wüthrich D
6 A. Borković D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
30 I. Ljubic M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
13 J. Jantscher F
9 A. Ajeti F
Bench (7)
20 E. Emegha
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič
15 W. Bøving
11 M. Sarkaria
42 D. Affengruber
44 A. Danté
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Ried

4-4-2
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
15 M. Gragger D
19 J. Turi D
24 T. Plavotić D
66 D. Ungar D
17 P. Pomer M
12 K. Michael M
8 M. Martin M
21 L. Mikić M
22 S. Nutz F
9 S. Chabbi F
Bench (7)
25 L. Kronberger
7 C. Monschein
10 J. Wießmeier
6 M. Lackner
11 D. Cosgun
33 J. Wendlinger
69 O. Kragl

Coach: C. Heinle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.