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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Gil Vicente
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
20%
70%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,6
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 16. · Sp Braga 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 11 10 1 0 +24 31
2 Porto 11 7 2 2 +15 23
3 Sp Braga 10 7 1 2 +16 22
4 Casa Pia 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 Sp Lisbon 11 6 1 4 +7 19
6 Guimaraes 10 5 2 3 +2 17
7 Boavista 11 5 2 4 -5 17
8 Estoril 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 Portimonense 11 5 1 5 -2 16
10 Arouca 11 4 4 3 -5 16
11 Chaves 11 4 3 4 -4 15
12 Vizela 11 3 3 5 -3 12
13 Rio Ave 11 3 3 5 -4 12
14 Famalicao 10 3 1 6 -5 10
15 Santa Clara 11 2 3 6 -4 9
16 Gil Vicente 10 2 3 5 -6 9
17 Maritimo 11 1 2 8 -18 5
18 Pacos Ferreira 11 0 2 9 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Sp Braga
Fran Navarro 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Paulo Oliveira
↦ Nuno Sequeira
56′
🔁 S. Banza
↦ Abel Ruiz
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
58′
61′
🟨 Vítor Tormena
67′
Iuri Medeiros 0–1
Vítinha
Henrique Gomes 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 U. Račić
↦ Vítinha
69′
🔁 Rodrigo Gomes
↦ André Horta
M. Arai 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
78′
A. Alipourghara 🔁
↦ Murilo
78′
Carraça 🔁
↦ Danilo Veiga
82′
Pedro Tiba 🔁
↦ Matheus Bueno
83′
84′
🔁 Castro
↦ Iuri Medeiros
G. Aburjania 🔁
↦ B. Aouacheria
88′
Giorgi Aburjania 🟨
90′
92′
🟨 Matheus
94′
🟨 Simon Banza
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 S. Kritsyuk G
78 Danilo Veiga D
3 Lucas Cunha D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
55 Henrique Gomes D
10 K. Fujimoto M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
57 Matheus Bueno M
7 B. Aouacheria F
9 Fran Navarro F
77 Murilo F
Bench (9)
18 M. Arai
30 A. Alipourghara
15 Carraça
25 Pedro Tiba
8 G. Aburjania
16 Andre Simões
4 Manuel Lopes
12 Brian Araújo
5 E. Hackman

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
70 Fabiano D
3 Vítor Tormena D
4 S. Niakaté D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
8 Ali Musrati M
10 André Horta M
21 Ricardo Horta M
99 Vítinha F
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (9)
15 Paulo Oliveira
23 S. Banza
19 U. Račić
7 Rodrigo Gomes
88 Castro
14 Álvaro Djaló
12 Tiago Sá
2 Víctor Gómez
18 D. Lainez

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,40
U
3,73
B ✓
1,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.