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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Twente
U S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Waalwijk
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 49%
70%
27%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 47%
20%
73%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
0,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Waalwijk 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +28 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 8 0 3 +19 24
3 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +15 24
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 2 2 +9 23
5 Twente 10 7 1 2 +13 22
6 Sparta Rotterdam 11 6 2 3 +7 20
7 Utrecht 11 4 3 4 -5 15
8 Waalwijk 11 3 5 3 +3 14
9 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 +0 14
10 Go Ahead Eagles 12 3 4 5 -3 13
11 Excelsior 12 4 1 7 -16 13
12 For Sittard 12 3 3 6 -7 12
13 Groningen 12 3 3 6 -10 12
14 Nijmegen 11 1 8 2 +0 11
15 Vitesse 11 3 2 6 -9 11
16 Cambuur 11 2 2 7 -10 8
17 FC Emmen 12 1 4 7 -15 7
18 Volendam 11 1 3 7 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Waalwijk
6′
🟨 Julian Lelieveld
Ricky van Wolfswinkel ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
21′
1–0 S. Steijn
V. Černý
34′
2–0 S. Steijn
G. Smal
45′
Half-time 2–0
Robin Pröpper 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Z. Bakkali
↦ P. Vroegh
46′
🔁 S. Bakari
↦ J. Lelieveld
M. Kjølø 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
66′
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ V. Misidjan
76′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ V. Černý
76′
76′
🔁 R. Kuijpers
↦ D. Van den Buijs
82′
🔁 S. Augustijns
↦ P. Clement
82′
🔁 F. Jozefzoon
↦ Julen Lobete
84′
🟨 Sebbe Augustijns
3–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
89′
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
91′
C. Staring 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
18 M. Vlap M
7 V. Černý M
14 S. Steijn M
10 V. Misidjan M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (11)
21 M. Kjølø
26 D. Cleonise
11 D. Rots
27 M. Ugalde
32 C. Staring
24 L. Everink
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
38 M. Bruns
16 I. El Maach
17 A. Salah-Eddine
22 P. Tytoń

Coach: R. Jans

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
5 T. Lutonda D
8 P. Vroegh M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
11 I. Bel Hassani F
7 Julen Lobete F
Bench (11)
19 Z. Bakkali
22 S. Bakari
17 R. Kuijpers
26 S. Augustijns
10 F. Jozefzoon
15 L. Nieuwpoort
34 L. Wouters
12 H. Mulder
21 Joel Pereira
13 M. Spenkelink
35 K. Felida

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,62
B
6,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.