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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Sevilla
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Levante
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
16 Shots 3
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Getafe 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Valencia 4 2 1 1 +2 7
3 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Villarreal 4 2 1 1 -1 7
5 Betis 4 2 0 2 -1 6
6 Granada 3 2 0 1 -2 6
7 Sociedad 4 1 2 1 +2 5
8 Celta 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +5 4
10 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Cadiz 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Huesca 4 0 3 1 -2 3
15 Elche 2 1 0 1 -2 3
16 Valladolid 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 Eibar 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Alaves 4 0 1 3 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Levante
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
-5′
38′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
Half-time 0–0
Jesús Navas 🟨
51′
Suso 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
61′
62′
🔁 Jorge de Frutos
↦ E. Bardhi
62′
🔁 M. Malsa
↦ N. Radoja
Munir El Haddadi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
Óliver Torres 🔁
↦ Munir
70′
Y. En-Nesyri 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
71′
76′
🟨 Son
76′
🔁 Postigo
↦ Melero
77′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Morales
Lucas Ocampos 🟨
78′
Fernando 🟨
82′
Jules Koundé 🟨
82′
Óscar Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Joan Jordán
86′
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ L. Ocampos
86′
Diego Carlos 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 Miramón
↦ Son
1–0 Y. En-Nesyri
Navas
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Navas D
18 Escudero D
20 Diego Carlos D
12 J. Koundé D
10 I. Rakitić M
25 Fernando M
5 L. Ocampos F
8 Joan Jordán M
9 L. de Jong F
11 Munir F
Bench (11)
7 Suso
21 Óliver Torres
15 Y. En-Nesyri
14 Óscar Rodríguez
22 F. Vázquez
3 Sergi Gómez
6 N. Gudelj
31 Javi Díaz
17 Alejandro Pozo
1 T. Vaclík
19 M. Acuña

Coach: Lopetegui

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor Fernández G
6 Ó. Duarte D
3 Toño D
14 Rúben Vezo D
2 Son D
24 Campaña M
17 N. Vukčević M
5 N. Radoja M
11 Morales F
22 Melero F
10 E. Bardhi M
Bench (11)
18 Jorge de Frutos
12 M. Malsa
15 Postigo
9 Roger Martí
20 Miramón
34 Dani Cárdenas
19 Clerc
21 Dani Gómez
1 Koke
4 Rober
23 Coke

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,59
B
7,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.