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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Cadiz
T T T T S
1–3
Full-time
Sevilla
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

24% Possession 76%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Betis 3 2 0 1 +2 6
2 Granada 3 2 0 1 -2 6
3 Sociedad 3 1 2 0 +3 5
4 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Huesca 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Alaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Sevilla
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Salvi
Álvaro Negredo
48′
58′
🟨 Nemanja Gudelj
60′
🔁 Joan Jordán
↦ Sergi Gómez
61′
🔁 Munir
↦ Óliver Torres
61′
🔁 L. de Jong
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
65′
L. de Jong 1–1
Navas
67′
🟨 Suso
69′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ Suso
A. Fernández 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
71′
F. Malbašić 🔁
↦ José Mari
76′
A. Lozano 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
77′
Juan Cala 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 Bryan Gil
↦ L. Ocampos
Fali Jiménez 🔁
↦ Salvi
84′
Y. Bodiger 🔁
↦ Jorge Pombo
85′
Fali 🟨
90′
Marcos Mauro 🟨
90′
Augusto Fernández 🟨
90′
90′
ℹ️ Munir El Haddadi
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
Munir 1–2
Joan Jordán
94′
I. Rakitić 1–3
Munir
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 Alberto Cifuentes G
16 Juan Cala D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
4 M. López D
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
6 José Mari M
7 Salvi M
2 J. Jønsson M
11 Jorge Pombo M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (12)
17 A. Fernández
24 F. Malbašić
9 A. Lozano
3 Fali Jiménez
12 Y. Bodiger
15 Carlos Akapo
26 J. Flere
10 Alberto Perea
27 Marc Baró
13 David Gil
5 Jon Garrido
28 S. Erimuya

Coach: Álvaro

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Navas D
3 Sergi Gómez D
20 Diego Carlos D
10 I. Rakitić M
6 N. Gudelj M
5 L. Ocampos F
19 M. Acuña D
7 Suso F
21 Óliver Torres M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
8 Joan Jordán
11 Munir
9 L. de Jong
14 Óscar Rodríguez
29 Bryan Gil
1 T. Vaclík
25 Fernando
18 Escudero
12 J. Koundé
31 Javi Díaz
17 Alejandro Pozo
22 F. Vázquez

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,24
U
3,36
B ✓
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,49
U2,5
1,53
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.